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Criterion of Verifiability: Rule
propounded by many neo-positivists to the effect that the distinction
between scientific and non-scientific theories is that the scientific
ones can be verified by their logical consequences. The
criterion of verifiability that was most strongly propounded by the
neo-positivists, though implicit in the teachings of earlier empirically
minded philosopers, amounts to the two theses that there must be given
some clear criterion to distinguish
scientific statements from
non-scientific statements, such as
metaphysical or theological
statements, and that the criterion that does this is that scientific
statements are such as to be verifiable by their logical consequences.
One may well be somewhat skeptical about the first claim, for even if
there is a fundamental distinction between science and non-science it is
not necessary that this corresponds to some clear criterion that is
applicable to all statements and unmistakenly selects just those
statements that are properly scientific.
And one may also hold that there is no simple
criterion that makes such a distinction for all of the sciences, and
that this is not necessary either, for what characterizes any real
science is usually clear enough: Empirical investigation of aspects of
the real world, by methods that are objective and capable of being
employed by anybody qualified, and directed by empirical findings and
logical argumentations, all done in an objective, honest and
controllable way.
It seemed to the neo-positivists that it is quite important to
distinguish science from non-science, and especially from metaphysics
and theology, and it seemed to them that they had found a simple
criterion to make the distinction: A statement is scientific, the
neo-positivists claimed, if and only if the statement is verifiable, and
then by an appropriate scientific method, included observation and
measurement.
There are quite a few possible rational objections to this, and one
important one was strongly argued by Popper: The problem for a
scientific theory that gets verified by some of its logical
consequences, is that it does not get proved true by such confirmations,
and to believe that it does is to assume the fallacy of affirming the
consequent. See: Criterion of falsifiability.
It may be said with some justification that this criticism is not
just, since the criterion was proposed to distinguish between scientific
and non-scientific statements, and the criterion did not say anything
about their proof, nor does it need to.
A related objection, that is much stronger, is that because
theories
must go beyond the evidence -
namely: to predict anything at all -
the very ideas of verifiability and
falsifiability of
a theorem or a statement, in brief, a
hypothesis, seem to require at least two additional hypotheses
of a principal kind: that there is some
invariance (to test
the hypothesis), and that there is some
irrelevance (that may be abstracted
from).
And finally, Bayesian Reasoning,
that involves probability, gives much
more, explains much better, and is much more subtle than any mere
verification or falsification of consequences plus bivalent logic, which
indeed seems - with the stress on the need for verifiability -
committed also to the fallacy of affirming the consequence.
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